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Capacity Expansion in Deregulated Power Markets

Research Abstract

According to the National Energy Policy (NEP) developed in 2001 and the Annual Energy Outlook 2007, energy demand in the U.S. is slated to increase sharply over the next two decades. It is stated in the NEP that the United States will need about 393,000 MW of new generating capacity by 2020 to meet this growing demand. With about a third of the states in the U.S. trading electricity in restructured markets, a significant proportion of the aforementioned capacity expansion will have to take place in a market based environment. But, most of the existing literature is focused on capacity expansion under the regulated market paradigm. As a result, authorities in many restructured electricity markets have attempted to regulate decisions on generation investments, instead of leaving it to the market forces, to avoid capacity shortages. Our proposed research intends to fill this vacuum by developing a comprehensive methodology to obtain multi-period multi-generator equilibrium capacity expansion strategies in restructured electricity markets. Our research objectives are as follows.
1. Develop a risk-constrained game theoretic modeling framework within which a multi-period, multi-player, and noncooperative generation expansion planning (GEP) process can be analyzed.
2. Develop a computationally viable agent-based solution strategy for the three-tier generation expansion game model and demonstrate the strategy on existing deregulated power networks.
3. Build an open-source software test bed suitable for use by restructured electricity market participants and researchers to assess the long-term capacity expansion process under alternative market design configurations.
4. Engage in curricular development in power system economics, and recruit and train a cadre of graduate and undergraduate students from varied ethnic backgrounds to design, develop, and operate deregulated power networks. Develop support programs for teacher training and enhancing science education in K-12 system.

                          A Three-Tier Generation Expansion Game Model

Publications

 

Conference Presentations

  • Nanduri, V. and Das, T. K. A Three-Tier Game Theoretic Model for Multi-Period Multi-Generator Capacity Expansion in Restructured Markets. INFORMS Annual Meeting 2007, Seattle, WA.